Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 13.094250 14.711292 16.465169 18.511199 20.835597 23.397669 26.440539
2025-03-30 10.622020 12.748042 15.223247 18.327174 22.128586 26.649078 32.456730
2025-04-06 8.629665 10.972188 13.874631 17.755778 22.840909 29.319235 38.265441
2025-04-13 7.186093 9.626307 12.825759 17.363912 23.693593 32.294477 45.012157
2025-04-20 6.310817 8.875785 12.421961 17.740538 25.615153 37.001211 54.996710
2025-04-27 5.627804 8.280143 12.132380 18.220305 27.757580 42.389848 67.049870
2025-05-04 4.993684 7.656568 11.703280 18.416107 29.501600 47.485377 79.702822
2025-05-11 4.345747 6.915216 10.983070 18.035383 30.258441 51.137547 90.736108
2025-05-18 3.822982 6.296632 10.364884 17.715791 31.051363 54.976258 102.902343
2025-05-25 3.393595 5.771705 9.824598 17.438325 31.860557 58.973773 116.219394
2025-06-01 3.050723 5.347870 9.396792 17.289832 32.872275 63.516544 131.608412
2025-06-08 2.768949 4.994575 9.044549 17.223043 34.021761 68.525369 149.097536
2025-06-15 2.591108 4.815885 9.002387 17.777945 36.579442 77.036725 176.718523
2025-06-22 2.370925 4.528686 8.715591 17.798500 38.033083 83.503790 201.328431
2025-06-29 2.132967 4.176723 8.255035 17.385454 38.471605 87.801846 221.796175
2025-07-06 1.938159 3.886996 7.882229 17.103570 39.159059 92.829890 245.548767
2025-07-13 1.829925 3.762511 7.837797 17.550242 41.656410 102.825186 285.760133
2025-07-20 1.738300 3.661634 7.830363 18.082028 44.470243 114.262061 333.608117
2025-07-27 1.632802 3.517398 7.707786 18.318982 46.582444 124.315709 380.434512
2025-08-03 1.497849 3.291234 7.369986 17.971089 47.083502 130.015368 415.191315
2025-08-10 1.380469 3.091837 7.070073 17.674767 47.677522 136.140362 453.432888
2025-08-17 1.277140 2.913636 6.799085 17.413865 48.329952 142.613631 495.137619
2025-08-24 1.190801 2.766368 6.585890 17.277111 49.327172 150.417195 544.512318